Buckley Capital Management Sends Letter to International Workplace Group plc Board and Outlines Recommended Actions to Unlock Shareholder Value
A full copy of the letter is below:
Dear Members of the Board of Directors and Management:
As you know,
Over the past few months, we have greatly appreciated your constructive engagement as we've shared our detailed perspectives and concerns regarding the Company, along with our recommendations for enhancing long-term value. We have been particularly impressed by the recent changes that have been implemented regarding investor relations and management guidance. We believe that IWG is misperceived by the investment community as lacking sufficient credibility, which is a primary reason for the mispricing of the Company's shares. However, the Company's new CFO and head of investor relations have taken the thoughtful approach of under promising and over delivering. Accordingly, the Company has started to beat consensus estimates since they joined, after a long history of past disappointments. We view the Company's mid-term targets as highly conservative and believe that as the market begins to recognize this in the coming year the valuation will adjust to reflect its attractive growth and business transformation. We have enjoyed our dialogues with
We have chosen to issue this letter publicly to encourage an open and transparent discussion around our recommendations. By engaging all shareholders in this important dialogue, we can ensure that all parties have the opportunity to consider our perspectives and contribute to the conversation on enhancing long-term value. Based on our prior conversations with other shareholders, we believe the ideas outlined in this letter would be strongly supported by your investor base and we encourage you to speak with them.
IWG is an
We were initially compelled to invest in IWG in
Over the last 35 years, IWG has executed to become the undisputed leader in the coworking office market. The Company is now best positioned to benefit from the secular trend towards flexible leases and is in the process of transforming its business to a managed and franchised model with significantly lower capital requirements, higher cash conversion and greater stability. The Company has increased its group revenue from approximately £2.65 billion in 2019 to an expected £3.44 billion in 2024.1 This growth has come despite facing two major headwinds in the past decade that are now behind: (1) COVID, and (2) a well-funded competitor (WeWork) who incinerated enormous amounts of capital attempting to grow, thereby suppressing industry returns. More importantly, IWG's growth profile is now set to materially inflect while its net growth capital expenditure should significantly decline, from £142.5 million in 2021 to £40 million in 2024. Based on the Company's market dominance, accelerating growth, lower capital requirements, higher FCF conversion, and greater stability, we believe that IWG's shares should be trading at a higher valuation multiple today than in the past.
Undervalued and Misunderstood, Despite its Outstanding Position
Despite these factors, and the fact that the Company's adjusted EBITDA is on track to reach a record high this year, the Company's share price continues to languish and is currently down approximately 50% over the last five years. It is clear to us that there exists a significant dislocation between the current share price and the intrinsic value of the Company, despite management's efforts to improve communications and financial disclosures to the investor community. This growth in EBITDA, combined with a decline in its share price, has caused the Company's valuation to compress from 7.2x EBITDA in 2019 to 5.1x consensus 2024E EV/EBITDA today.2 Now trading at less than 10x 2025 FCF, with FCF/share expected to grow at a 25%+ rate, we believe the shares are dramatically undervalued given the quality and predictability of the Company's future growth, prospects for margin expansion, and stronger free cash flow generation.
We agree with the Company's assessment that IWG's capital-light platform model aligns more closely with comparable platform businesses, rather than traditional brick-and-mortar serviced office companies it tends to be likened to. Companies operating in this way typically command significantly higher valuation multiples. While there are no exact comparables for IWG, the comp table in the Appendix to this letter shows the disconnect between IWG's valuation and the valuation of Managed and Franchised and Worka Segment Comparables. Our analysis indicates a notable share price discrepancy relative to these comparables, suggesting a Fair Value closer to
We are concerned that efforts by IWG's management to articulate the investment merits of the Company have fallen on deaf ears, and further action needs to be taken to unlock the Company's intrinsic value. Therefore, we believe the Board should initiate a major share buyback as soon as the Company reaches its 1x net debt/EBITDA target. Simultaneously, we believe that the Board should expedite the re-listing of IWG's shares onto a
We urge the Board to Execute a Share Buyback Program
The transition to a capital-light model has produced a significant boost to IWG's free cash flow conversion. We hope that 1x net debt/EBITDA is not the intended capital allocation policy long term. We believe a higher net debt to EBITDA - between 1.5-2.0x - makes sense longer term allowing IWG to be more aggressive with buybacks. Our analysis demonstrates that IWG could return over £2bn to shareholders through free cash flow and capital structure optimization between now and 2028, which would total more than the market cap today. While we understand it makes sense to be at 1x net debt/EBITDA in the short term, we would like to see the longer-term leverage levels higher given the shift to a higher quality revenue stream in the managed and franchised business.
As the Company's capital-light model begins to generate significant fee income in the next 12-24 months, the valuation multiple of IWG should rise significantly. We are very encouraged by the strength of the early cohorts in the Managed and Franchised segment and believe that will be a significant driver of value going forward, with a positive inflection in 2025. Therefore, it is imperative for the Company to start buying back shares as soon as the 1x net debt/EBITDA target is reached to take advantage of the significantly discounted prices that exist today. Our analysis shows that IWG shares can generate a 30% IRR or better from today's prices, which can be improved by an accelerated share repurchase.
IWG Belongs on a US Exchange
We believe that moving IWG's listing to the US presents a strategic opportunity to enhance shareholder value and we support the Company's efforts to explore this option.
The Company already has a meaningful presence in the US, despite trading in the
In addition to this, trading on the
As an example, CRH plc, a leading provider of building materials based in
The management's decision to switch its reporting currency and adopt the American GAAP accounting standard is a step in the right direction. However, we urge management to accelerate its efforts and commit to a US listing immediately. Expediting these steps will allow IWG to fully capitalize on its North American business, enhance public-market multiples, and unlock significant shareholder value.
Sale to
If a US listing and share buybacks do not cause a significant rerating in IWG's shares, we are convinced that management should explore a sale of the business in the private markets to realize the Company's intrinsic value.
There has been rumored interest in 2018 from financial buyers at prices much higher than current levels, between 9-10x EBITDA. Firms such as
There are a litany of public-company comparables that point to significant upside in IWG. The average of public-company comparables for the Worka and Managed & Franchised segment trades at an average NTM EBITDA multiple of 12.5x and 15.6x respectively. IWG's Owned & Operated segment has historically traded at ~7.5x over the past 20 years. These valuations would lead to significantly more than 100% upside for IWG shareholders from today's levels.
Conclusions
While we have been encouraged by our discussions with the Company thus far, the Board and management must take more immediate action to fully unlock the true value of the Company. As such, we strongly encourage the Board to embark on a meaningful share buyback program and to immediately appoint advisors to proceed with a relisting in the US.
The time for action is now—these steps are crucial to ensuring that the Company realizes its full potential and delivers the value that shareholders deserve.
We aim to work collaboratively and constructively with the Board and management to maximize shareholder value and look forward to continuing a positive dialogue.
Sincerely,
About
Appendix
Below is a list of Public Comps for IWG:
Worka Segment Comparables:
|
Market Cap |
Avg. 3 Yr |
Forward 3 Yr |
NTM |
Booking |
126,041 |
31.30 % |
16.09 % |
15.6x |
Airbnb, Inc. |
88, 598 |
18.47 % |
51.38 % |
15.8x |
Expedia Group, |
16,912 |
12.8 % |
28.44 % |
6.1x |
Group Average |
|
20.86 % |
31.97 % |
12.5x |
Managed/Franchised Segment Comparables:
|
Market Cap ($M) |
Avg. 3 Yr |
Forward 3 Yr |
NTM |
Marriott |
63,990 |
64.87 % |
10.40 % |
15.1 x |
Hilton Worldwide |
53,677 |
55.40 % |
18.38 % |
17.9x |
InterContinental |
16,134 |
27.47 % |
9.51 % |
15.0x |
Hyatt Hotels |
14,907 |
10.90 % |
25.18 % |
14.3x |
Group Average |
|
39.66 % |
15.87 % |
15.6x |
Private Market Bid for IWG:
Private Equity Bidders |
Post Valuation |
Valuation/EBITDA |
Date Canceled |
|
4,200 |
9.2 x |
|
Onex and Brookfield Asset |
3,740 |
7.8 x |
|
Sum of the Parts Valuation:
|
Segment Enterprise |
2025E |
25E |
Worka |
1,560 |
130 |
12.0 x |
Managed & |
758 |
513 |
15.0 x |
Owned & |
2,573 |
343 |
7.5 x |
IWG Enterprise Value |
4,891 |
Net Debt |
608 |
IWG Equity Value |
4,283 |
S/O |
1,092 |
Fair Value(GBP) |
3.92 |
Implied Multiple |
9.3 x |
*Refers to Contribution margin as opposed to EBITDA
Contacts
For Investors:
Zack@buckleycapitalpartners.com
For Media:
Greenbrook Advisory
BuckleyCapital@greenbrookadvisory.com
1 NTD –Bloomberg data
2 NTD – Bloomberg data
3 - Refers to Contribution Margin as opposed to EBITDA